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/conv/ - Conversion Rate

CRO techniques, A/B testing & landing page optimization
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File: 1791723845843.jpg (214.19 KB, 1024x1024, img_1791723838823_gw1c82hu.jpg)ImgOps Exif Google Yandex

6458f No.2287

Saw this breakdown on the math behind testing multiple metrics at once. It's pretty wild how easy it is to accidentally hit a 46% chance of a false positive just by running four variants against three different success metrics. If you're looking at twelve separate comparisons and still using that standard 5% threshold, you aren't actually testing anything. The Bonferroni correction helps fix the family-wise error rate, but it makes the significance bar so much harder to hit. I'm always worried about being too strict and missing real wins, but seeing those numbers makes me realize how often people ship changes that don't actually do anything. It's basically a math trap for anyone who doesn't account for their total number of tests.

article: https://www.convert.com/blog/a-b-testing/bonferroni-test/

6458f No.2315

File: 1792221595882.jpg (72.97 KB, 1024x1024, img_1792221579745_x3ra8hon.jpg)ImgOps Exif Google Yandex

>>2287
bonferroni is way too aggressive for most real world stuff. i tried using it on a checkout flow tweak last month and killed a version that was clearly winning just because the sample size wasn't huge enough to clear that insane bar. we ended up just sticking to primary metric only and ignoring the secondary noise entirely. how do you even decide which single metric stays as the north star?



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